Re: EUA
Enviado: Sex Jul 01, 2022 1:44 pm
Suetham escreveu: Qui Jun 30, 2022 10:37 am
Além disso, afirmaram que se fosse o término do Q2 agora, os EUA estariam nessa enrascada:
Um crescimento abaixo de 0,5%, algo entre 0,3 a 0,4%.
Atlanta Fed lowers Q2 GDPNow estimate to negative territory
A projeção final do PIB do segundo trimestre de 2022 (hoje, 30 de junho) pelo modelo GDPNow do Federal Reserve de Atlanta é que o PIB dos EUA encolhe 1,0% no segundo trimestre. Essencialmente, prevê que os EUA estão em recessão, já que o PIB do primeiro trimestre encolheu 1,6%.The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model sees Q2 real GDP growth of -1.0% as of June 30, down from +0.3% on June 27.
If that negative print comes to fruition, there would be two straight quarters of negative real GDP growth (-1.6% in Q1) making it a technical recession.
Similarly, the IHS Markit tracking estimate for Q2 GDP growth has been in a steady decline since the beginning of June. The latest estimate is -0.7% as of June 30 compared with over +2.0% in the beginning of June.
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