Re: SYRIA
Enviado: Sáb Dez 14, 2024 9:39 am
Jorge Silva Carvalho
A comunidade Drusa no Líbano, mais de meio milhão de pessoas, grande parte da qual vive na zona tampão recentemente ocupada por Israel e na região próxima da fronteira sul com o Líbano, não quer ficar subordinada a um regime árabe sunita radical e prefere estar integrada em Israel.
Os Drusos estão maioritariamente concentrados na região do Monte Líbano, uma cordilheira montanhosa que se alonga de norte para Sul no Líbano e que acompanha a fronteira desse país com a Síria.
Os Montes Golã ocupados por Israel após o ataque sírio na guerra de 1967 e depois em 1973, no Yom Kippur, são a parte final dessa cordilheira e são maioritariamente ocupados por drusos.
Se os Monte Golã dificilmente deixarão de pertencer a Israel, a zona tampão e os territórios drusos na Síria (e até no Líbano) poderão vir a ser áreas de influência e controlo direto israelita.
Quando vejo pessoal a bater palmas à Al Qaeda e ao ISIS já espero tudoTúlio escreveu: Ter Dez 17, 2024 11:07 pm Pelo menos agora a AL-QAEDA ficou boazinha, até PARADA GAY há quem diga que já estão organizando!
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A Potential New Proxy Conflict Between Turkey and Russia
A Russian An-124 flight from Khmeimim Air Base in Syria to Al Khadim Air Base in Libya was confirmed tonight, signaling a significant shift in Russia’s military strategy. This move follows the fall of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, prompting Moscow to redirect its resources away from Syria and focus more on Libya. The flight, which carried military equipment, underscores Russia’s increasing support for General Khalifa Haftar’s Libyan National Army (LNA) in its ongoing struggle for control of the country.
This strategic shift could have wide-ranging implications, particularly given Turkey's involvement in the Libyan conflict. Turkey has been a strong supporter of the internationally recognized Government of National Unity (GNU) in Tripoli, which opposes Haftar’s forces. With Russia and Turkey backing rival factions in Libya, tensions are likely to escalate, raising the possibility of renewed conflict between the two competing governments.
Complicating matters further, Russia's Wagner Group has already established a presence in Libya, providing military expertise and support to Haftar’s forces. The increased Russian military footprint, now bolstered by the An-124 delivery, will give Moscow greater leverage in the region.
With Russia’s influence in Syria effectively ended after Assad's fall, Moscow is now focused on maintaining a military footprint in the Mediterranean, particularly through its involvement in Libya’s strategic oil and maritime sectors. To strengthen its position, Russia will likely seek to support the LNA in capturing more territory held by the UN-recognized Government of National Unity (GNU).