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Re: F-35 News

Enviado: Ter Jan 20, 2009 11:44 am
por gaitero
nukualofa77 escreveu:G-LOC citou: Esses gastos são feitos para manter o complexo militar e os estruturas agregadas a eles, porque não tem concorrência, não tem controle, a tecnologia e a segurança nacional são as desculpas perfeitas para serem ineficientes e corruptos, e não poderem ser cobrados de nada. Porém, os tempos de bonanza acabaram. Eu diria, nada mais parecido com o complexo industrial militar, que os especuladores do mercado financeiro.

[]´s

>>>>>>

Concordo em gênero, nº e grau. Grande parte dos gastos do Pentágono é sustentados por lobistas (congressistas) ligados a empresas de defesa. Como também é inerente ao meio, muitas concorrência por ai afora, e não só no "3º mundo" são vencidas a base de propina, corrupção etc. Existe um livro chamado "Os mercadores de armas" (Anthony Sampson, Record, 1982) que fala justamente das concorrências fraudulentas das Indústria de defesa dos EUA na Europa, Japão, etc. A Lockheed, segundo este livro, sempre foi uma das maiores corruptoras.
As concorrências internas e externas sempre foram assim e o Pentágono, os congressistas, agências de governo, sabem muito bem como funciona esse "jogo" de centenas de bilhões de U$... Essas grandes corporações só se sustentam por causa de sua ligação umbilical com o governo. Atualmente, os poucos mega-grupos
do setor (Boeing, Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman, Raytheon, mais alguns q não me lembro) concentram quase todo o mercado e tem um poder q contrasta o de muitos Estados Nacionais por ai...

Os EUA tem um complexo militar-industrial, parte bastante significativa de sua economia, q se sustenta pela guerra (dos EUA e dos outros), seja de baixa, média ou alta intensidade.

É a lógica do setor e de seus interesses (vide o setor de defesa e energia com a Guerra do Iraque...). É só fazer um exercício de memória e listarmos o nº impressionante de intervenções dos EUA só entre a Guerra do Vietnã (na qual ficaram certo tempo "traumatizados", quem dirá os vietnamitas e sus mais de 3 milhões de mortos...) e a 1ª do Golfo (a 1ª grande intervenção pós-Vietnã).

Se não existe uma demanda (para determinado equipamento), as empresas e os lobistas (do Pentágono e do congresso) criam uma. Sempre foi assim... Interesses determinados sempre ditaram muitas "prioridades"...
Só uma correção, foi o PRICK quem citou.
Sobre sua resposta nukualofa77, concordo em genero numero e grau.......
:lol: :lol:

Abraço.

Re: F-35 News

Enviado: Sex Jan 23, 2009 9:00 pm
por soultrain
JSF And Nunn-McCurdy
Posted by Bill Sweetman at 1/23/2009 7:42 AM CST

Note: this item is edited and updated as of 5 pm Eastern time on Friday, January 23.

It caused a definite but understandable flap this morning when an official statement emerged from the Government Accountability Office, declaring the Joint Strike Fighter program "recently declared a Nunn-McCurdy unit cost breach." This apparent bombshell - the program has been struggling to avoid such a declaration for a couple of years - was buried in a corner of the GAO's transition website.



A ler no original com os hiperlink's a funcionar:

http://www.aviationweek.com/aw/blogs/de ... 6023503b57


Don't panic, says the GAO (in a direct comment below from Katherine Schinasi, the agency's managing director for acquisition and sourcing management). The "recent" breach actually dates to 2005, following the redesign undertaken to fix weight-gain problems.

That was why the subject of a breach did not come up during in a 90-minute briefing and discussion with program office director Maj Gen Charles Davis at the Brookings Institute last week. Although several questions were asked about costs, nobody specifically used the N-word.

Davis did say (noted here) that costs were likely to overrun, and stated that the average unit procurement cost was likely to be $80 million in 2014 dollars for the F-35A, $85-87 million for the F-35C and "a couple million more" for the STOVL F-35B.

Note: that doesn't mean that an F-35A ordered in FY14 will cost $80m - the projection is the average across 2400+ aircraft. Backtracked to today's dollars, it translates into a unit cost of $71 million - which is still a lot more than the $52 million which Norway used in its estimates.

In fact, that $71 million could put the program on track for a Nunn-McCurdy breach. Passed in 1982, Nunn-McCurdy requires a report to Congress when a major acquisition program overruns its projected unit cost (which may or may not include development - two sets of criteria are used) by a set percentage. A 15 per cent breach requires notification.

A 25 per cent breach technically means termination - although this can be (and almost always is) avoided if the Secretary of Defense certifies to Congress that the program is critical to national security. But at that point the program is likely to be restructured, too, and it will certainly face a lot of scrutiny.

The law was also changed in 2006 to deal with "re-baselining" - that is, cases where the program was restructured and a new Nunn-McCurdy baseline set. Congress added requirements to report (30 per cent) and terminate or recertify (50 per cent) based on the original baseline cost. For JSF, this would mean the estimate at contract award in late 2001, before the weight explosion, major redesign and schedule slip in 2004-05.

(For everything you want to know about Nunn-McCurdy, see this presentation.)

The JSF office has been working to avoid a breach sor some years, trying to control actual and projected costs, and cutting in some places to offset increases in others - in particular, increases in the cost of manufacturing the aircraft.

The GAO notes that JSF "faces considerable risks stemming from its decision to reduce test assets and the flight-test program to pay for development and manufacturing cost increases." The program office has also attempted several times to cancel the F136 engine, and to revise assumptions for support costs.

Remember all the confusion around the 2007 SAR - which was closely followed by the revelation of another one-year slip? As noted at the time, "the big good news was that there was no big bad news... The fighter dodged the incoming Nunn-McCurdy missile that everyone had predicted."

Whether it will do it again will be seen in March, as a result of the end-2008 Selected Acquisition Reports (SAR), normally published at the end of March.

Today, Pratt & Whitney is lobbying more intensively to have the F136 cancelled and the JSF program is fighting against efforts to slow the program down, which would increase unit costs. It's not hard to see why.

Re: F-35 News

Enviado: Sáb Jan 31, 2009 12:38 am
por caixeiro
Prensa da Alcoa que faz partes do F-35 quebra e Alcoa tentar comprar empresa tentar continuar o contrato sera que vai atrasar mais ??



Crack in huge Alcoa press may move jobs from Cleveland to California
Posted by Sabrina Eaton and Frank Bentayou / Plain Dealer Reporters January 29, 2009 18:45PM
Categories: Manufacturing, Real Time News

Plain Dealer FileA worker sprays lubricant into a huge Mesta press at Alcoa on Harvard Ave in the Flats in August 2000. Now, a huge crack in the press will cost about $68 million to fix.
The 50,000-ton hydraulic press at Alcoa Forged and Cast Products in Cleveland is cracked and will need about $68 million in repairs for the plant to keep making parts for the F-35 Joint Strike Fighter jet under a contract it signed with Lockheed Martin in 2007.

$68 milhoes para reparar a prensa


The 10-year-contract is worth $360 million to Alcoa, which is battling with its unions over how to pay for the repairs.

Alcoa has asked the unions to make concessions or face the transfer of jobs to a non-union facility in California, according to Cleveland Democratic Rep. Dennis Kucinich.

On Thursday, Kucinich teamed up with House Defense Appropriations Subcommittee Chairman John P. Murtha of Pennsylvania to write Alcoa a letter urging compromise. Murtha's subcommittee oversees all Pentagon spending.

"We understand that reasonable concessions from employees may be in the best interest of the company's financial health," said the letter to Klaus Kleinfeld, Alcoa's chief executive. "However, whether intentional or not, it would be alarming if Alcoa created a false choice for highly skilled and valuable employees who must now choose between losing their jobs and agreeing to concessions that undermine their health and financial stability."

The letter from Kucinich and Murtha says that even though Lockheed Martin and Ohio have offered Alcoa incentives to fix the inoperable press, the company has asked the union to agree to a four-year wage freeze, to a doubling of out-of-pocket health care costs for employees, to contract language that would undermine the union's right to strike, and to a benefit freeze for new hires.

The letter said Alcoa is "reported to be considering" the purchase of Shultz Steel Co., a non-union plant in California, to fulfill its Lockheed Martin contract if the union won't grant concessions.

"We further understand that if Alcoa fixes the inoperable press, Lockheed Martin will extend the duration of the subcontract for an additional 10 years and the State of Ohio will offer multi-million dollar tax incentives," the letter said.

Kevin Lowery, Alcoa's director of corporate communications, said the plant has kept to its work schedule on F-35 parts forgings by using a range of presses available at the Cleveland facility. "That said," he added in a phone interview, "we want to get that press back up and working, and we are looking at a number of different options to do that."

He added, "We are committed to continuing the work with all the different stakeholders to find the best solution for the business, our employees and the community at large."

Jeff Judson, president of UAW Local 1050, which represents the plant's workers, could not be reached for comment Thursday afternoon. In a recent note to UAW members, Judson said Alcoa sought a four-year contact extension around the Christmas holidays, but discussions reached an impasse because "some of what they were asking for was too much."

"As always, the UAW is willing to listen," Judson said in his Jan. 27 update to Local 1050 members. "As always, your Union Leadership is committed to finding ways to secure jobs in OUR plant and to continue to help make Cleveland Works profitable. We are not going to sit back and watch our jobs disappear."

Alcoa already said it plans to cut costs dramatically. This month the aluminum company announced its first financial loss in six years, the result of plunging industrial demand worldwide. Alcoa reported a fourth-quarter loss of $1.19 billion or $1.49 a share, compared with a $632 million profit, or 75 cents a share, in the same period a year earlier.

Kleinfeld said Alcoa has embarked on "wide-ranging measures" in 2009 that include closing production facilities, terminating as many as 13,500 workers worldwide and selling some of its business units in order to downsize the corporation in light of slower sales.

The 1,250 employees at Alcoa's Forged and Cast Products facility in Cleveland were relieved to hear after the first of the year that relatively few local workers would lose their jobs. The plant, which makes auto and truck as well as some aviation wheels in addition to the lightweight frame members for the F-35, laid off 100 workers Jan. 7, including 50 salaried and 50 hourly, union employees.

Thursday it said 29 more union workers lost their jobs this week and received the same contractual severance package that the earlier dismissed workers received. A spokeswoman for the Cleveland plant did not say whether there would be additional local layoffs.

When Alcoa announced its cost-cutting efforts, it said it would reduce its then 104,000 global employment by 13 percent and also end jobs for another 1,700 contractors.

The company had indicated that the Cleveland jobs associated with the F-35 work were secure. Alcoa won an $850,000 commitment in Ohio workplace grants to help defer the cost of a $24 million capital improvement program and $400,000 for employee training.

Re: F-35 News

Enviado: Sáb Jan 31, 2009 2:22 am
por Sterrius
the projection is the average across 2400+ aircraft.


So eu acho esse numero fantasioso? Para quem não lembra o F22 tb tinha o sonho de ter uns 500 a 750 pedidos. Nos sabemos que no final acabou nem na metade disso.

Obvio que o F35 vai ser exportado, isso ajuda. Mas mesmo que somemos todas as exportações eu não consigo ver este caça saindo muito da faixa de 500-1000 aviões.

Até pq avião é ta igualzinho a computador. A cada X meses sai uma peça ou equipamento novo e o top de linha fica desatualizado precisando de upgrade. Ae tome de cancelar caças pra dar upgrade pros que ja existem.

Re: F-35 News

Enviado: Sáb Jan 31, 2009 3:10 am
por Bourne
Não acredito que esses 2400 unidades do F-35 estejam operacionais ao mesmo tempo. Entretanto, considerando o tempo que a linha de produção estará aberta, a necessidade de renovação da frota e de caças para certas operações militares, esse número é bem factível.

Re: F-35 News

Enviado: Sáb Jan 31, 2009 11:59 am
por PRick
Sterrius escreveu:
the projection is the average across 2400+ aircraft.


So eu acho esse numero fantasioso? Para quem não lembra o F22 tb tinha o sonho de ter uns 500 a 750 pedidos. Nos sabemos que no final acabou nem na metade disso.

Obvio que o F35 vai ser exportado, isso ajuda. Mas mesmo que somemos todas as exportações eu não consigo ver este caça saindo muito da faixa de 500-1000 aviões.

Até pq avião é ta igualzinho a computador. A cada X meses sai uma peça ou equipamento novo e o top de linha fica desatualizado precisando de upgrade. Ae tome de cancelar caças pra dar upgrade pros que ja existem.

Não sei porque as previsões contábeis nos EUA, estão muito parecidas com os Planos de Expansão da Economia da ex-URSS, os caras diziam, eles figem que produzem e vendem e nós fingimos que estamos sendo realistas nas previsões.

[]´s

Re: F-35 News

Enviado: Sáb Jan 31, 2009 8:11 pm
por gaitero
O problema é que clientes com maior poder aquisitivo como Inglaterra e Itália estão executando o F-35 juntamente com o Typhoon.

Sinceramente não da para se ter previsões, existem muitos aviões prestes a ser substituidos, mas tambem existem muitos caças para serem escolhidos, se o preço for muito salgado, como se preve, e como foi para o F-22, é dificil encontrar clientes dispostos.

Mas mesmo assim pelo menos 1200+ unidades devem ser produzidas, se fosse uma mega sena eu chutaria 1600 unidades, e se fosse para chutar alto daria 1800+ unidades.

Agora 2400+ eu creio que seja otimisto de mais, mas mesmo assim ainda existe tal possibilidade, isto se o custo do caça não for tão salgado quanto se comenta..

Re: F-35 News

Enviado: Dom Fev 01, 2009 8:01 am
por Valdemort
O Japão ta doidinho pra comprar o F22 .Só autorizarem a venda .

Re: F-35 News

Enviado: Qua Fev 04, 2009 4:44 am
por caixeiro
Imagem

Re: F-35 News

Enviado: Qua Fev 04, 2009 9:07 am
por kekosam
Que papagaiada é esta ai, Caixeiro??? F-35 particular??? :shock:

Re: F-35 News

Enviado: Qua Fev 04, 2009 1:34 pm
por Dieneces
Pô !! Pensei que o F-35 fosse maior...é menor que o Gripen!! :D

Re: F-35 News

Enviado: Qua Fev 04, 2009 2:13 pm
por Immortal Horgh
Dieneces escreveu:Pô !! Pensei que o F-35 fosse maior...é menor que o Gripen!! :D
Alguém chama o CM pra dizer que que existe micropulga :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:



[ ]s

Re: F-35 News

Enviado: Qui Fev 05, 2009 8:38 pm
por Eduardo Soares
caixeiro escreveu:Imagem
HAHAHAHAHAHA
É por isso que ele vai ser stealth?????????? Um mini-RCS!!!! :twisted: :twisted:

Re: F-35 News

Enviado: Qui Fev 05, 2009 8:41 pm
por gaitero
Pô isso parece ser um Carro Alegórico.............

Re: F-35 News

Enviado: Seg Fev 09, 2009 10:19 am
por P44
devido á CRISE ECONOMICA, a Austrália avança para cortes em equipamento, nomeadamente o JSF
Insiders said the White Paper will include cuts to approved programs across all three services and will shelve or defer several major "wish list" projects, including the $16 billion Joint Strike Fighter program (trimmed from 100 aircraft to 75 or less, saving $4 billion) and unapproved projects such as the navy's fourth $1.5 billion air warfare destroyer and new naval helicopters ($1 billion).
http://www.news.com.au/story/0,27574,25 ... 21,00.html